E hia te nui o te hiko e hiahiatia ana e te pokapū raraunga?
"Homai he haerenga kore utu mō te rā kotahi ki ngā hutong o Beijing, me te kore e hoki whakamuri."
"Tangohia te hunga e hāereere ana i tēnei whakaahua, kia āhua tūturu tonu."
"Whakakapia te parera tunua i te ataata whakaora i te pokiha maunga hukarere ki te parera tote."
Ko ēhea o ēnei whakaaro hangarau mohio ka nui ake te hiko e pau ana?
I ētahi tau kua pahure ake nei, ko te kawenga hiko (te hiahia kaha) o tētahi pokapū raraunga kotahi i te nuinga o te wā i roto i te awhe tekau megawatts (MW). Heoi, i te tipu haere o te tono mana rorohiko AI, kua piki haere tonu te tono mana o ngā pokapū raraunga. E ai ki tētahi pūrongo a te International Energy Agency (IEA), ko te whakamahinga hiko o ngā pokapū raraunga o te ao he tata ki te 415 terawatt-haora (TWh) i te tau 2024, ā, tera pea ka piki ki te tata ki te 945 terawatt-haora (TWh) i te tau 2030 (ka noho pea tēnei i runga i te koretake i runga i te horopaki).
Hei whakataurite, ko te whakaputanga hiko ā-tau o te Pā o Three Gorges i te tau 2025 tata ki te 95.715 piriona kilowatt-haora (95.715 terawatt-haora). Nō reira, ko te whakapaunga hiko a te pokapū raraunga o te ao he rite ki te whakaputanga hiko ā-tau e whā o ngā Pā o Three Gorges.
Hoki atu ki te pātai tuatahi: kāore he uara pumau o te whakapaunga pūngao o tētahi tono AI kotahi, ā, he maha ngā āhuatanga e pāngia ana e te rahi o te tauira, te roa o te putanga, te mekameka whakatau, te taurite, te taputapu, me te pokapū raraunga. Ko ngā ia whānui ko:
Ko te tuhinga noa, ko ngā putanga poto, me te iti o ngā mahi whakatau he mea nui ake te penapena hiko. Ko te whakatau uaua, ko ngā kōrero maha-huringa, me ngā putanga roa ka tino whakanui ake i te kawenga rorohiko.
Ko te whakaputa whakaahua uaua he nui ake te kaha o te rorohiko i te whakaputa tuhinga noa.
Ko ngā mahi whakaputa ataata/whakatika ataata roa te nuinga o te wā e whakaatu ana i te pikinga nui rawa atu o te whakapaunga hiko.
Me hono te whakamahere hiko ki te hanganga pokapū raraunga AI.
He maha ngā wā ka whakahaerehia te whakamahere hiko tuku iho i runga i te wā tekau tau te roa; heoi, he poto ake te huringa whanaketanga o ngā pokapū raraunga tauine nui, me te whakarite kia tika te hononga i waenga i te tuku hiko me ngā matapihi mākete. Ko ngā here mahi noa i roto i te whakatinanatanga ko:
Ka roa pea ngā tau ki te hanga i ngā kaupapa pokapū raraunga, kāore anō kia uru te wā e hiahiatia ana hei tono i ngā pūtake hiko hou.
He maha ngā here e pā ana ki ngā tipu hiko hou e whakamahia ana te hau, pērā i ngā whakaaetanga, te wahie, me ngā tikanga o te paipa, ā, ka taea te eke ki ngā huringa whakatūnga i roto i te 8-10 tau. He roa te wā tuku mō ngā taputapu nui pērā i ngā whakawhiti hiko nui, ngā kaiwawao hiko, ngā tāwhana hiko, me ngā teihana hiko kua oti te hanga, ā, he maha ngā wā me whakamahere i mua i te tau.
Mai i te tirohanga a te rāngai hiko, kāore e taea e te pūtea me te wairua o te hiahia te karo i ngā tukanga hanga tinana me ngā tukanga ture. Nō reira, me whakarerekē ngā taha e rua i ā rāua rautaki: me whakaatu wawe ngā pokapū raraunga i ō rātou hiahia tuturu, ā, me wawao wawe ngā kamupene hiko/ngā ratonga hiko ki ngā otinga tuku hiko me te whiriwhiri hoahoa hei whakaiti i ngā taupatupatu me ngā whakarerekētanga i roto i te tukanga "whakamahere-whakatinanatanga".
Ka nui ake te hiahia hiko i te kino o te rangi.
Kua piki haere te maha o ngā huarere kino i ngā tau tata nei. Ahakoa i mua i te tāpirihia o ngā pokapū raraunga katoa, kua whakamatautauria tonutia ngā rohe o te whatunga hiko e ngā huarere kino.
Kei te piki haere ngā kawenga whakamatao o ngā whare noho, ā, ka akiaki i te whakaritenga pūnaha ki te whakatau i ngā kōwhiringa uaua i raro i te pēhanga teitei. I te tipu haere o ngā pokapū raraunga tauine nui, ki te kore he whakaurunga tupato, ka uaua ake te whakapumautanga o te pono o ngā kawenga nui. Kei te haere tonu ngā kōrero ture me ngā kōrero ture mō te whakatinanatanga o te whakaiti kawenga mō ngā kaiwhakamahi ahumahi nui pēnei i ngā pokapū raraunga i roto i ngā āhuatanga ohorere kia whakarite ai i te kaupapa matua mō ngā kawenga tino nui. Ko te tikanga o tēnei me whai ngā kamupene hiko i ngā whakaritenga ā-pūnaha me ngā hangarau me te "kaha whakaiti" me te whakataurite i ngā kirimana, ngā whanaungatanga kiritaki, me ngā hononga mahi tahi mō te wā roa.
I te aroaro o te ngaru tipu o te tono e whai ake nei, me whai hanganga "tere ake, pumau ake" hoki ngā whatunga hiko me ngā pokapū raraunga.
I te mea kei te piki haere tonu te tono mō te pūngao mai i ngā pokapū raraunga me te AI, me whakarite e ngā kamupene ratonga he taurite ātaahua ake i waenga i te whaanui me te pono.
I roto i tēnei tukanga,Belden HirschmannKa taea e ngā āheinga hononga me te whatunga o te kamupene te tautoko i ngā āhuatanga nui i roto i ngā pokapū raraunga me te rāngai hiko, tae atu ki ngā hononga pono ki ngā pūtake hiko me te tohatoha nui, te whakawhitiwhiti kōrero whatunga ahumahi me te kohikohi raraunga, me ngā āheinga tirohanga me te whakahaere mō ngā mahi me te tiaki, hei āwhina i ngā kiritaki ki te whakapai ake i te kaha ki te whakatinana, te tiaki, me te haumarutanga mahi i te wā e whānui ana.
Pūtake Pūrongo: Belden Hessmann Pūkete Whaimana WeChat
Pūtake i Tohua: Pūngao me te AI - Tātaritanga - IEA: https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai/
Pānui Kaupapa Ngā Āwha e Toru 2025: http://www.mwr.gov.cn/sj/tjgb/sxgcgb/202606/t20260629_2131904.html
Wā tuku: 10-Ākuhata-2026